News 12 Bronx/Brooklyn Weather Extra
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Weekend Flurries
There’s enough evidence to confidently state that portions of the borough could see a flake or two this weekend. After enjoying the next two days of sunny, seasonable weather, the wind begins to howl on Saturday, keeping wind chills in the 40s as gusts top 30mph during the afternoon. Sunday starts cold, in the upper 30s and stays cold through the afternoon. The best chance for flurries will be late Sunday afternoon, possibly even after sunset at 6:16pm. Monday morning will be frosty as wake-up temperatures will be at or near freezing to start the workweek. Highs return to the 60s as early as Tuesday with calm, clear and cool weather for the rest of next week.
Interested in this Winter’s forecast? Our Northeast cold and snow is closely linked to Siberia’s snowpack. Read more here:
Expert: Ramp-up in Siberian snow cover hints at cold winter for eastern U.S.
Washington PostSiberian snow cover is off to a fast start which may favor another cold winter for the East.
mike -
The Color Purple
On weather maps, the color purple usually represents really cold weather. This weekend, that shade drops as far south as Upstate. We’ll be near/just above freezing here in the borough on Sunday morning, but even colder weather arrives for the Monday morning commute. Plus, a few flurries are still in the forecast on Sunday afternoon/evening. Even though this afternoon is still seasonably cool in the mid 60s, the cold air begins to drive in tomorrow afternoon with gusty winds up to 35mph. Tuesday warms up quickly, back into the 60s. We’ll probably get to 70 on Wednesday with mostly sunny for the rest of next week.
mike -
Early Chill.
This morning’s lows were within five degrees of setting new records. The light wind adds to the sting, bringing the wind chill at dawn below freezing (as low at 29 in the Northern Bronx hills). Highs this afternoon will be just two degrees above our normal wake up temperature for mid-October. As temperatures plateau tonight, tomorrow begins much more comfortable, with highs in the 60s by 4pm Tuesday. Wednesday and Thursday are even warmer with highs in the 70s. As typical in Fall, the next 8-9 days are relatively dry, with limited opportunities for rain. Temperatures stay around average through the rest of the month: highs near 60, lows near 45, with no more big cold outbreaks (such as this morning).
-mike -
Even warmer!
Highs will be 10 above average today, and as much as 14° above average tomorrow. Mostly sunny skies are forecast both today and tomorrow; however, anticipate a gusty breeze this morning, that makes it feel cooler in spots due to the wind chill. Thursday afternoon turns cloudy followed by a big drop in temperatures that comes late Thursday night with a cold front passing through. Friday night is chilly, but not too cold as the core of the Arctic air forgets its Canadian passport and stays to the north this time. The weekend is seasonably cool with another dry start to next week. There is no significant rain in the forecast for at least the next 8 days. NYC reservoirs are at 75% capacity (normal capacity on this date is 73%).
-mike -
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Advection.
Warm air moving horizontally in the atmosphere is called advection. That’s the reason why yesterday was so warm and why today’s afternoon high will be in the mid 70s (thanks also to a cloud-less sky). As long as that wind blows from the Southwest, highs will stay in the 70s. This is why it is warm tomorrow, as well. Late clouds move in Thursday, signaling a change in temperature. The cold front passes through dry since there’s not much moisture to begin with and cools the temperatures down into the 50s for Friday. Friday is breezy and cool, with a mix of sun and clouds. The weekend warms to average, with no chance for rain for the next 7 days. By next Wednesday, that would make 3 weeks without any rain.
-mike -
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Strongest Storm Ever?
Hurricane Patricia’s wind increased by 100mph and its
pressure dropped by 100mb in 24 hours. You didn’t hear anything about it
yesterday, because it was barely a Cat 2 Pacific Ocean storm. Now, As it spins
just off the coast of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico as a theoretical Category 7 (the
scale only goes as high as Category 5), it is already the strongest storm in
the North Pacific, strongest hurricane ever and very close to becoming the
strongest storm ever recorded on Earth (two storms worldwide were a tad
stronger). Why does this matter to us? It’s clear evidence that storms
can get stronger, due to a warming ocean. (Patricia is feeding off the super El
Niño).Try to grasp this—never before has an NHC hurricane advisory
max sustained wind begun with the digit "2".Our weather is cooler today, with highs in the upper 50s and
sunny. Tomorrow starts clear, but has late day clouds. An early morning
sprinkle on Sunday is over by 8am, but clouds last the rest of the day. Next
chance for rain next week is Wednesday afternoon.-mike
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Horizontal Rain
Look on the brighter side: at least it won’t be too chilly! After today’s sunny start and cloudy finish, winds get going out of the East at dusk helping to moisten up the dry atmosphere. Tomorrow’s rain begins before dawn, with gusty winds to 25 mph. Rain becomes heavy tomorrow after 1pm with South winds gusting to 40mph by sundown. Heaviest of the rain will be over before 10pm Wednesday—about 2 inches in total; however, the winds persist up to 30mph from the Northwest overnight into Thursday morning. A mix of sun and clouds on Thursday will be accompanied by a cooler and drier Northwest wind up to 25mph. The weather remains calm, clear and seasonably cool through Saturday. Sunday starts milder around 50 with clouds. Afternoon highs under mostly cloudy skies for the marathon could reach the mid 60s (about 8-10° above average).
Light rain returns Monday.
-mike -
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Wind Driven Rain
As light rain gets underway this morning, winds gust to 40mph after 2pm. Heavy downpours start after 4pm, lasting until midnight. There may briefly be gusts to 45 mph after 8pm tonight along coastal Brooklyn. Despite the wind and 2-2.5 inches rain by tomorrow, weather this afternoon and tonight remains mild in the low 60s. The showers are over early tomorrow, no later than 8am, and a gusty wind with sun allows highs to reach the upper 60s. Thursday afternoon will feel like early September with the mild air. As the winds switch direction tomorrow night, cooler air rushes in and chills us down to average for Friday. Mostly sunny skies, calm breezes and seasonably cool air will be the norm for Friday and Saturday. Sunday starts milder in the 50s with clouds. Those clouds linger into the afternoon with breaks of sun as highs climb into the 60s. There is still a small chance for a light sprinkle on Sunday, as we’re not completely in the clear. Monday has a light shower.
mike -
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Sunny and Cool
Highs today only reach the low 60s under mostly sunny skies. Winds will gust to 15mph from the Northwest, keeping skies clear. Tonight gets colder due to clear sky and light winds, low of 41. Tomorrow begins sunny and dry with thin clouds returning midday. The afternoon high on Halloween is 55. Clouds thicken, helping the weather become overcast by sunset tomorrow, 5:53pm. Tomorrow evening’s temperature is in the low 50s. Clouds remain thick for Sunday morning. Anticipate limited sunshine and a cool start around 50°. A light sprinkle/shower could develop, just barely wetting the ground, between 7am and 2pm Sunday. Clouds should break for some brief clearing before the sun sets at 4:53pm on Sunday. All indications keep clouds just to the South of the city for Monday, meaning a mostly sunny day. Temperatures warm well above average into next week.
mike -
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Tuesday was a pleasant day, filled with sunshine and temperatures 7 to 10 degrees above average. This trend will continue through Wednesday as high pressure moves off the coast. A cold front will bring increasing clouds late Wednesday followed by a slight chance of scattered showers late Thursday into Friday. Temperatures will begin to fall as the front clears our area by the middle of the weekend into next week.
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I hope you have enjoyed the last three days of a fair sky and above average temperatures. Wednesday's temperatures were 9 to 12 degrees above average for early November. The fair weather system responsible for our pleasant weather will continue its eastward movement bringing clouds and the threat of a few scattered showers Thursday and Friday. Look for cooler temperatures behind the front as daytime highs only reach the mid and upper 50s while overnight lows fall to the mid and upper 40s from Sunday through Tuesday of next week.
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Temperatures were about 19 degrees above average for this date. Records were tied or broken as follows:
Central Park: 74 Old Record: 74 – 1948
LaGuardia: 75 Old Record: 71 - 1948
JFK: 75 Old Record: 70 – 1961
I hope you have enjoyed the week of above average temperatures as a more seasonal air mass moves in this weekend. -
Mild and Sunny
The brisk start doesn’t last long. Sunny skies all morning warm this afternoon to the low 60s. It will feel pleasantly warm in the sun! Clouds arrive this evening, with a pretty sunset forecast thanks to high thin clouds at 4:46’s sunset. Tomorrow begins milder in the 50s, but wet as light rain begins during the morning rush. Most of the steady rain arrives midday tomorrow. Clouds and showers will be intermittent through Wednesday morning. Wednesday afternoon should have a brief clearing as we’ll be in between weather systems. Another brief shower is on the way for Thursday as a cold front sweeps through for Friday, clearing us out and cooling us down to average for the weekend.
mike -
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Partial Clearing
Even though this morning started damp with drizzle, the light mist will taper off before noon, giving way to sunshine midday. While this afternoon’s dry weather won’t feature full blue sky, expect sunny breaks as highs attempt to climb to 58. Tomorrow brings back more rain. Light showers linger all day Thursday, with the timing very similar to yesterday. Friday and Saturday are WINDY with sunshine. The cool and dry air can’t wait to rush back in, so it does so all at once, creating gusts up to 40 mph. Highs will be in the low 50s as a result (but it will feel like it’s in the 40s most of the weekend). The winds calm down Sunday with dry and above average temperatures on the way for most of next week.
mike -
Weak high pressure will break-up some of the clouds through the remainder of Veterans Day. Clouds return Thursday ahead of the same storm system that has brought the threat of severe weather to the plains states. Clouds and rain are in the forecast for Thursday, followed by gusty winds and cooler temperatures Thursday through Saturday.
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High Water
Due to a light southeast wind for the last few days, sea water levels will be elevated today in conjunction with the new moon. Coastal flooding threats should subside this afternoon, well beyond the high tides’ cycles passing. The wind shift, blowing from the west tonight, helps subside the coastal flooding too. We’re ending the time of year when ocean water is at its warmest. Since warmer ocean water expands ever so slightly, something known as millimeter sea expansion, tides tend to run a few inches higher than their normals. This phenomenon is called the King Tide, and can cause coastal flooding on a clear, sunny and windless day. Since King Tides typically only happen Aug-Nov (when our local ocean is at its warmest), it’s a preview of what sea level rise will look like year-round, in 50-100 years.
The rain today amounts to no more than half an inch. Rain is over by 3 or 4pm, giving way to clouds and then gusty NW winds to help clear the skies overnight. Tomorrow begins sunny, breezy and brisk, with highs that climb only into the upper 50s; however, it will feel like the 40s most of the day thanks to the wind. Gusts top 40mph tonight, tomorrow and Saturday. Saturday will be cooler, only in the low 50s for highs. Sunday is calm and sunny. Next week begins dry with milder than average weather: highs will climb into the mid 60s one week from today.
mike -
Gusty Winds and Turning Cooler!
Wind Advisories have been issued for parts of the Ohio River Valley westward to the upper mid-west as a tightly wound area of low pressure currently over the Great Lakes Region moves northeast. Winds for the boroughs will increase, gusting from 25 to 35 mph by Friday morning and 35 to 40 mph by Friday evening. Dry and chilly weather is in the forecast through the weekend with highs from the upper 40s to the low 50s by Saturday. Temperatures will slowly moderate to the mid-60s for highs by Wednesday of next week. -
Windy Day!
Beyond the gusts to 40mph, bringing back chilly air through tomorrow, expect sunshine for the next 6 days. You’ll get your money’s worth with a car wash today. The weather turns milder by the middle of next week with highs in the upper 60s by next Friday.
mike -
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Mild and Dry
As pretty as yesterday’s weather was, the high only reached 59. Today’s high under mostly sunny skies is 63. Today will be one of two days this week in the 60s: the second happens on Thursday, with rain all day. While the sunny, dry days are nice, they are only enhancing our drought to a near 9 inch rainfall deficit for the year. Combined with the gusty winds, this briefly prompted a high risk of brush fires earlier this weekend. About an inch of rain is expected Thursday. The upcoming weekend is cool, and sunny. Chilly weather arrives early next week.
Even if 9 inches of rain were to fall tomorrow, that would only bring us to seasonal average.
mike -
Pleasant weather starts the new work and school week with high pressure settled over West Virginia. A back door cold front will bring overnight lows in the low 40s followed by 40s and 50s under a mostly sunny sky for Tuesday. Our weather will begin to change by mid-week as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Get ready for gusty southeast to southwest winds, periods of rain that may be heavy at times Thursday and Thursday night. Potential rain estimates 1 to 1.5 inches by late Thursday night.
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The effects of high pressure will begin to subside as a large storm system moves in from the plains. Clouds take over the sky late tonight through Thursday night with periods of rain as early as late Wednesday night. Thursday will be a day of wind driven rain that will be heavy at times with possible accumulations from ¾ of an inch to 1 inch by late Thursday night. Dry weather returns Friday.
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The clouds have taken over the sky and rain is on the way, as a cold front presses east. We have a chance of a little light rain or drizzle tonight into Thursday. Periods of rain that may be heavy at times begins around mid-day Thursday. The rain will be accompanied by gusty southeast to west winds topping out around 35 mph. Rainfall estimates are from ½ inch to an inch by late Thursday night into Friday. The cold front should clear our area by Friday bringing the coldest air of the fall season for the weekend.
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Rain & Wind
This morning is mild and muggy with starting temperatures around 60. Steady rain gets going by noon with gusty winds all afternoon to 40 mph. Some of the rain showers could be heavy beginning around 6pm, and lasting until midnight. Up to 1.5” of rain falls. Tomorrow will be cooler with sunshine. Saturday and Sunday are cooler and calm. Chilly weather returns for Monday morning, likely our coldest yet. Thanksgiving week should be cool, dry, calm and clear.
mike -
Rain ends then it gets colder
The rain will end after midnight followed by gradual clearing into Friday morning.
High pressure over the Tennessee Valley will move northeast and dominate our weather through the first half of the weekend. Low pressure currently over Wyoming will move east bringing a chance of snow to the Great Lakes region late Friday through early Sunday. We have a chance of showers Saturday night into Sunday morning followed by a push of cold air that will keep our highs from the mid-40s to the low 50s while overnight lows fall to the mid-30s and low 40s Sunday through Wednesday of next week.
