News 12 Bronx/Brooklyn Weather Extra
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Afternoon Clouds
As clouds increase this afternoon, rain stays to our South. Most neighborhoods likely turn wet overnight as light showers pass through late, with clouds lasting most of tomorrow. Saturday should clear out by the afternoon while Sunday remains dry. Monday starts wet with a more significant rain through Wednesday.
mike -
Rough Surf
Today and this weekend will have an abundance of sun with highs that will climb into the low 80, without all the humidity. The rough surf, however, will be an issue at the ocean beaches. As a coastal storm swings wide right, it keeps the clouds away on Saturday and Sunday, but will enhance the ocean surf making another weekend of strong rip currents at the shore. The forecast next week is still cloudy and wet, with the earliest chance of dry weather returning later Wednesday. There is a very strong evidence of an El Niño pattern developing, meaning that hurricane season will be quiet and our weather will turn wetter in the short term.
mike -
A Soaker
After today’s partly sunny and humid finish, the wet weather gets going later tonight. Downpours start with thunder and lightning around 4am Tuesday and last through the morning rush, totaling as much as 2 inches of rainfall by 10am. Beyond a brief midday break, another round of storms arrives late tomorrow afternoon. Wednesday should start to dry out with beautifully dry weather on Thursday and Friday. The weekend warms with sunshine to above average highs: in the upper 80s to around 90. The normal high for this weekend should be 81°.
mike -
Morning and Afternoon Storms
This morning’s downpours will bring about an inch of rain by 11am. It brought visibility down to less than ¼ mile with sideways rain due to 25mph gusts when the downpours began around 6am. There will be a midday lull, with possibly brighter skies, before even heavier downpours and thunderstorms arrive for this afternoon and evening. The 1-2 inches of rain total could still be as high as 3” in spots, depending on where the afternoon thunderstorms deliver the additional localized rainfall. All storms are over by midnight, and skies clear out overnight. Tomorrow will bring back sunshine and dry breezes with late afternoon passing clouds. Highs return to the 80s for the rest of the week. The weekend is warmer and more humid—easily reminiscent of a July summer weekend. It will be our 6th weekend in a row without rain.
The dry spell continues into next week.
mike -
Tranquil
Today’s afternoon sunshine and change of air mass will allow dry breezes to kick out yesterday’s muggy air. The dry weather hasn’t exactly arrived just yet, which is why it still feels somewhat muggy this morning. This time tomorrow will have a bit of a chill to the air. There isn’t a drop of rain on the 7 day with another weekend filled with sun; however, Sunday will be quite humid. Ragweed pollen has appeared on the allergy report—the first time this season. With the dry weather, expect that level to trend higher over the next week. Temperatures over the next week will be about 5-7 degrees above average. Starting today, sunrise occurs after 6am and sunset now happens before 8pm.
mike -
September Feel
By this evening, a very dry air mass will take over, creating an almost September-like feel. Skies are cloud free all day with enough sunshine to make a UV index of 8 (out of 15) which translates to Very High. Tomorrow is warmer with a touch more humidity building in by the afternoon. Sunshine remains for this weekend with highs in the low 90s and high humidity. It will be our 6th weekend in a row of rain-free weather; however this weekend will be pretty much cloud-free. Next week starts hot and humid with the heat breaking on Tuesday evening as showers and storms move in.
mike -
Hot and Sunny
Today’s weather is identical to yesterday’s, plus 4 degrees. The hot and humid air returns tomorrow with feels like temperatures in the mid-90s by Sunday. Monday will be the hottest as actual highs climb to 92 with very high humidity. Tuesday brings the line of storms to cool us down a bit—that’s the only chance of rain on the 7 day. Beginning Wednesday of next week, a more seasonable less humid feel returns with more sunshine.
mike -
Hot and Humid
Today’s weather will be hot again. Other climate reporting weather stations in the city have already had 3 consecutive days in the 90s, just not Central Park. These other hot spots are more representative of the weather outside your window, anyway. More impressive is the starting temperature (morning low) of 80 today in the Bronx. There is no heat advisory because this afternoon’s heat index is 95, and only 91 tomorrow. Beyond another afternoon 10 minute downpour, today and tomorrow’s skies have hazy sunshine. Humidity will be much higher by Thursday, with the very muggy weather lasting through Friday. Thursday and Friday are cloudy with showers by Friday. Skies should clear by Saturday afternoon into Sunday with lower humidity.
mike -
orn Over Brooklyn
This morning’s early thunderstorm was a result of a phenomenon that is currently being researched at the University of Georgia—do cities “create” more rain? The urban heat island effect phenomenon is well-documented: the concrete buildings and pavement of the inner city traps more heat, keeping urban locations warmer overnight than the greener and lush suburbs. Convective initiation, or thunderstorm development, (in today’s case) centers on where the greatest release of ground heat is found. These two meteorological principles worked together to flood sections of the city downwind from where the storm formed. Since this storm developed over Sunset Park, Brooklyn at 4:30am, the rising heat of Brooklyn lifted into the very humid atmosphere, meeting the 1.5 inches of liquid suspended in the sky over NYC, and dropped nearly all of the rain back to the ground in a matter of minutes. A light breeze carried the storm northwest, out of Brooklyn, across midtown, and into NJ, where it rained out over the Meadowlands and expanded into Western sections of the Bronx as the once 40,000 foot towering storm, with lightning, flattened out and spread out. Storms like this morning’s pop-up on a high-resolution forecast model about 4 to 5 hours in advance, with 50% accuracy—there’s still a long way to go with that aforementioned weather research.
As a result of this somewhat unpredictable atmospheric process, the rest of the week will have pop-up downpours, with little warning, as humidity increases to swamp levels by Friday. The weekend looks cloudy with showers, but somewhat cooler in the low 80s.
mike -
A Quiet Tropical Atlantic Season So Far
The Atlantic tropical season began on June 1st and ends on November 30th. So far, this has been a very quiet tropical season for the Atlantic Basin with only 4 named storm systems (Tropical Storms Ana, Bill, Claudette and Danny).
A hurricane season forecast was produced by the National Hurricane Center and the Hurricane Research Division of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) on May 27th forecasting 6-11 named storms, 3-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes (category 3 or greater). The 1981 – 2010 seasonal average is 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
The National Hurricane Center upgraded Tropical Depression Four to Tropical Storm Danny as of 5pm this evening, Tropical Storm Danny was approximately 1595 miles east of the Windward Islands, maximum sustained winds were near 40mph. Danny’s forward movement was west at 12 mph.
There are no watches or warning associated with Danny as of the latest advisory.
For more information regarding Tropical Storm Danny or any other tropical interest see:
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
Muggiest Yet
With a light breeze off the water, the air is completely saturated with 90% humidity at dawn. Today won’t be as hot, but the humidity will be higher than yesterday, climbing to even higher values tomorrow. Morning clouds today break for sunshine this afternoon, adding to the steamy feel. Expect the same scenario tomorrow, with a chance of quick downpours at any time. Friday is the wettest day as the line of showers pass through the borough midday. The weekend looks cloudy, with spotty showers as the humidity won’t break until Tuesday.
Tropical Storm Danny is gathering strength in the Atlantic, but more than 1400 miles from any land. Early next week, then Hurricane Danny is forecast to track near the Caribbean.
mike -
Bronx / Brooklyn Weather Brief for Wednesday (PM), August 19, 2015
Cooler temperatures and high humidity are in the forecast for the remainder of the work week with a slight chance of a few scattered showers and possible thunderstorms tonight and Thursday. The chances of shower and storms increase late Thursday through Saturday as a slow moving cold front moves in from the west.
THE TROPICS
5PM Advisory for Tropical Storm Danny
Approximate Location: 1325 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 mph
Movement: West @ 10 mph
Danny could bring much needed rain the Lesser Antilles early next week.
FORECAST
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy, a humid night with a slight chance of showers and possible thunderstorms, lows in the low 70s.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy, warm and humid with a chance of late day showers and possible thunderstorms, highs in the mid-80s.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy and humid with a chance of showers and possible thunderstorms that may produce periods of heavy rain, lows in the mid-70s.
Friday: Sun and clouds with a chance of showers and possible thunderstorms that may produce periods of heavy rain, highs from the upper 70s to low 80s.
Friday Night: Clouds and showers, lows in the low 70s.
Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers and possible thunderstorms, highs from the low to mid-80s.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, lows in the low 70s.
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
Sunny and Humid
This afternoon’s humidity will be the muggiest yet, but at least the sunshine remains. Highs reach the low 80s. Tomorrow starts very stormy, with clouds lingering through the midday. Afternoon clearing likely occurs tomorrow with lower humidity by Friday evening. Saturday and Sunday are rain free; however, there could be times of overcast skies at the beaches since tomorrow’s front doesn't move out far enough east. On Tuesday/Wednesday, a fall-like feel returns with very low humidity and comfortably cool nights.
mike -
Bronx / Brooklyn Weather Brief for Thursday (PM), August 20, 2015
The warm and humid weather continues into tonight as a cold front closed in from the west. We run the risk of showers and storms tonight with the best chance of showers and storms from midnight through 7am Friday. Periods of rain may be heavy at times that may cause some minor localized flooding in flood prone areas.
High Risk of RIP CURRENTS (Wave Height 2 to 4 Feet) for ocean facing beaches through this evening.
THE TROPICS
5PM Advisory for Hurricane Danny
Approximate Location: 1030 miles east of the Windward Islands
Maximum Sustained Winds: 80 mph
Movement: WNW @ 10 mph
This region is currently under a moderate to extreme drought!
FORECAST
Friday: Sun and clouds with a slight chance of showers and possible thunderstorms, highs from the upper 70s to low 80s.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers, lows in the low 70s.
Saturday: Sun and clouds with highs from the upper 70s to the mid-80s.
Saturday Night: Increasing clouds and humid, lows in the low 70s.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy and humid with a chance of showers, highs from the low to mid 80s
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy with lows in the low 70s.>
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
50/50 weekend
While the storms this morning brought some heavy rains, and even a misleading flash flood warning (it didn’t rain that hard over the Bronx and Brooklyn), the rest of today’s weather is pleasant. Sunshine returns and lasts through the afternoon with lowering humidity. Tomorrow is clear and remains dry as highs climb to 85 with comfortable humidity. Sunday should start cloudy and likely have a few sprinkles around by midday. Though I don’t think it pours, or even rains steadily, be prepared for grey skies on Sunday afternoon with some showers around. Monday and Tuesday still have above average highs. The cool mornings begin on Wednesday. The second half of next week should feel closer to average for late August.
mike -
Bronx / Brooklyn Weather Brief for Friday (PM), August 21, 2015
Drier weather continues to build into the region as a cold front slowly moves off the coast. High pressure over Ohio will bring us comfortable weather through the weekend. Humidity returns early next week as the high moves east and another cold front brings us another round of unstable weather Monday through Wednesday.
THE TROPICS
11PM Advisory for Hurricane Danny
Approximate Location: 810 miles east of the Leeward Islands
Maximum Sustained Winds: 110 mph
Movement: WNW @ 10 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 977mb / 28.85 inches of mercury
The Caribbean region is currently under a moderate to extreme drought!
FORECAST
Tonight: Partly cloudy comfortable, lows from the upper 60s to the low 70s.
Saturday: Sun and clouds with highs from the lower to mid-80s.
Saturday Night: Increasing clouds and humid, lows near 70.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy and humid with a chance of showers, highs from the low to mid 80s
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy with lows in the low 70s.
Monday: Sun and clouds warm and humid with a chance of late day showers and storms, highs from the low to mid 80s.
Monday Night: Partly to mostly cloudy and humid with a chance of showers, lows from the upper 60s to the low 70s.
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
Fall Feel Arriving
While today is mostly sunny with noticeable humidity, the rest of the week is much drier with chilly starts and warm afternoon. Summer takes a break this week, but returns with warmer weather Saturday and Sunday. Tuesday begins with extra clouds and a brief shower, but the front moves through tonight, mostly unnoticed. You’ll notice a very pleasantly dry feel to the air by tomorrow evening. That taste of autumn lasts through Friday. The tropics are still active: with Danny dwindling to a remnant low, Erika will likely form in the same position Danny was 5 days ago.
mike -
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Bronx - Brooklyn Weather Brief for Monday (PM), August 24, 2015
A cold front will bring a chance of showers and possible thunderstorms through Tuesday morning. Once the front clears, we’ll have an extended period of warm and dry weather as high pressure dominates into the weekend.
THE TROPICS
As of 11AM Danny was degraded to a trough of low pressure.
Location: 45 miles WSW of Guadeloupe
Max Winds: 30 mph
Movement: W @ 12 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1010mb / 29.83 Inches of Mercury
The 11AM advisory will be the last advisory for Danny!
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS for ocean facing beaches
FORECAST
This Afternoon: Sun & Clouds warm and humid, highs from the low to mid-80.
Tonight: Increasing clouds with a chance of showers and possible thunderstorms, lows in the low 70s.
Tuesday: Clouds, showers and possible storms early, partial clearing by the afternoon, highs in the mid-80s.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear with lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny warm and humid with highs in the mid-80s.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Thursday: Sun & clouds, highs in the low 80s.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear with lows in the mid-60s.
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
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Dry and Warm
Less humid weather arrives this afternoon with sunshine, as cooler air returns tonight. For the next few days, mornings will start with an early fall chill, and afternoons will be warm, sunny and dry. Humidity comes back for the weekend, with upper 80s in the forecast by early next week. At the first glance of Erika’s track this morning, I gulped. It’s the first hurricane that is forecast to come very near to the US mainland in over a year (last US landfall was Arthur, July 2014; before that was Sandy). Erika is also a spatially large storm, far bigger than Danny.
mike -
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Bronx - Brooklyn Weather Brief for Tuesday (PM), August 25, 2015
A slow moving cold front will clear the coast over the next 24 to 36 hours as high pressure moves in from the west giving us several days of warm and dry weather. As we get into the weekend, temperatures and humidity will begin to rise which may trigger an isolated shower or thunderstorm. REMEMBER: We are abnormally dry with an average rainfall deficit of 1.45 inches for the month and over 4 inches on the year.
THE TROPICS
Tuesday, August 25, 2015
8PM Advisory
Tropical Storm Erika
Approximate Location: 545 miles East of Antigua
Maximum Sustained Winds: 40 mph
Movement: West @ 20 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006mb / 29.71 inches of mercury
Full Advisory: 11PM
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS for ocean facing beaches
FORECAST
Tonight: Mostly clear and less humid with lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny warm and humid with highs in the mid-80s.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Thursday: Sun & clouds, highs in the low 80s.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear with lows in the mid-60s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and warm with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Friday Night: Mostly clear with lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
Best Weather Yet
Cool mornings will be followed by warm, sunny and pleasant
afternoons. The September-like weather continues
through Friday, until more humidity and hotter weather arrives for the weekend.
August is setting up to be the 2nd or 3rd warmest August
on record in the city. Afternoon highs
near 90 to begin September. Rainfall is off by about an inch for the season and
month.The first 10 days of September is statistically the timeframe
when a hurricane will most likely strike Florida. Erika’s exact track in
uncertain beyond Friday, but Sunday’s forecast position is keeping everyone in
South Florida on their toes. Additional
rain tomorrow in Puerto Rico should nearly end the drought with 4-8 inches of
rain by Friday. Winds won’t be too threatening there as Tropical Storm Warnings
were posted this morning for gusts to 50mph. (The islands are on the weaker
side of the storm). 4 more hurricane hunter missions are scheduled today to provide
more data for the weather models. Additionally NASA’s Global Hawk drone started
flying a 24hr unmanned mission from Wallops Island, VA this morning at 7am to
the skies above Erika. It will drop up to 80 weather sensors into the storm
below, that will directly impact the NHC’s forecast track by tomorrow.mike
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Bronx - Brooklyn Weather Brief for Wednesday (PM), August 26, 2015
A large and slow moving area of high pressure (currently approaching the Ohio Valley) will dominate our weather through the weekend. Warm and dry days and comfortably cool night are in the forecast through Friday. By the weekend, we’ll begin to feel increased heat and humidity as southwest winds return to the borough.
THE TROPICS
Wednesday, August 26, 2015 – 8PM Advisory
Tropical Storm Erika
Approximate Location: 155 miles East of Antigua
Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 mph
Movement: West @ 17 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006mb / 29.68 inches of mercury
Next Advisory: 5PM
Tropical Storm Conditions
Leeward Islands … Tonight
The US Virgin Islands & Puerto Rico …Thursday
Dominican Republic & Haiti … Friday
Rainfall Amounts: 3 to 5 inches…Isolated 8 inches By Friday
FORECAST
Tonight: Mostly clear, lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Thursday: Sun & clouds, highs in the low 80s.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear with lows in the mid-60s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and warm with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Friday Night: Mostly clear with lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, warm and humid with highs in the low 80s.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, lows from the upper 60s to low 70s.
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
Broken Record
Our sunny and dry weather through Sunday is helping steer
Erika away. The weather repeats like a broken record through Saturday. Sunday
is warmer and more humid, but still sunny. Enjoy the last weekend in
August! There’s still not much confidence as to where she goes beyond
Saturday. Here are a few maps to help explain: --mike
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Bronx - Brooklyn Weather Brief for Thursday (PM), August 27, 2015
High pressure continues to move slowly east over the Great Lakes / Ohio River Valley Region. As a result, war and dry weather is in the forecast for the borough through the weekend. Higher heat and humidity is in the forecast as we get into the weekend as the high moves east of our area.
THE TROPICS
Tropical Storm Erika - 8PM Advisory
Approximate Location: 145 miles SE of San Juan, Puerto Rico
Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 mph
Movement: WNW @ 12 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008mb / 29.77 inches
Next Advisory: 11PM
Tropical Storm Conditions
The US Virgin Islands & Puerto Rico …Tonight
Dominican Republic … Friday
The Turks & Caicos Islands, the Southeastern Bahamas …Saturday
Rainfall Amounts: 4 to 8 inches…Isolated 12 inches by late Saturday
Risk of: Flash Flooding & Mud Slides
FORECAST
Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy, lows in the mid-60s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and warm with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Friday Night: Mostly clear with lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, warm and humid with highs in the low 80s.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, lows from the upper 60s to low 70s.
Sunday: Sun & clouds, very warm & humid, highs from the upper 80s to the low 90s.
Sunday Night: Partly, very mild and humid with lows around the mid-70s.
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
High and Dry
Straight up sunshine lasts through the next 7 days with increasing
humidity starting Sunday. No matter where Erika decides to go, we’ll probably
have high, thin clouds most of next week as they emanate from her weaken,
shredded center and meander over the city skies. The storm gets ripped apart as
the center of pressure (not really an “eye”) passes over DR/Haiti today, never intensifying
into a hurricane through Tuesday. The cone of uncertainty has narrowed, but not
for the better—both Florida coasts remain vulnerable. Unbelievably, on Friday morning, there is very low
confidence on intensity and position of Erika for Sunday night/Monday morning.
The forecast is far from a slam dunk.mike
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Bronx - Brooklyn Weather Brief for Friday (PM), August 28, 2015
High pressure currently anchored over the Ohio River Valley will continue to dominate our weather through the weekend and possibly into the middle of next week.
THE TROPICS
Tropical Storm Erika - 11PM Advisory
Approximate Location: 40 miles West of Port Au Prince Haiti or 145 miles SE of the eastern tip of Cuba
Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 mph
Movement: WNW @ 20 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008mb / 29.77 inches of mercury
Tropical Storm Conditions
Dominican Republic – This Evening
Haiti – Overnight
The Bahamas – Saturday
Cuba – Saturday and Sunday
Southern Florida – Monday
Rainfall is forecast for 3 to 6 inches and isolated areas of 10 inches for the Caribbean through the weekend. There is the risk for Flash Flooding and Mudslides.
FORECAST
Overnight: Friday Night: Mostly clear with lows from the mid to upper 60s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, warm and humid with highs in the low 80s.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, lows from the upper 60s to low 70s.
Sunday: Sun & clouds, very warm & humid, highs from the upper 80s to the low 90s.
Sunday Night: Partly, very mild and humid with lows around the mid-70s.
Monday: Sun and clouds, hot and humid, highs around 90. Heat index values are forecasted for the mid to upper 90s.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy and humid with lows in the mid-70s.
Have a great weekend,
Darryl Green
Weather Anchor
News 12 Bronx / Brooklyn -
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