News 12 Weather Extra

News 12 Connecticut Weather Extra

  • SOME "UPS" AND "DOWNS" 
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas

    After a bright and brisk day on Tuesday, we are looking ahead to a warmer day on Wednesday. It'll be mostly cloudy with a chance of a sprinkle during the morning. By afternoon, the clouds will thin enough for some breaks of sunshine. Temperatures will reach into the 60s in most areas; it'll be cooler at the shore.


    Image: WeatherBell Analytics - WED 5 PM Temps 


    Cooler air will return for Thursday; highs will be in the 40s and 50s.

    Image: WeatherBell Analytics - THU 2 PM Temps 

  • Blue Sky! Fairfield Time Lapse

  • First Week of Spring
    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo @meteor_mike

    A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for New Haven county for wintry conditions expected during the overnight hours. 

    A coastal storm will intensify over the mid-Atlantic coast through Sunday evening and eventually move northeast into the North Atlantic grazing the northern edge of the storm through southwestern Connecticut. As clouds build through Sunday evening, a few rounds of spotty drizzle and flurries are likes as a disturbance to the west moves north. 

    Storms traditionally follower the jet stream noted by the blue arrows. The jet stream will "transfer" storm energy into the mid-Atlantic which amplifies the coastal storm. The jet stream then moves it northeast.  

    The coastal storm will start sending very light snow showers our way after 8PM and eventually fills the area near midnight into a steady wet-snow. Temperatures overnight will reach near or just below freezing so the snow will be wet, heavy, and melty. The snowfall will stick more to vegetated surfaces than roads but this does not rule out slick and slushy travel conditions overnight into Monday morning’s commute. 
    Overnight low temperatures going into Monday morning. 

    The snowfall may have a burst overnight before quickly tapering off to lighter snow just before sunrise near 6AM. Conditions begin to rapidly increase through Monday where we can expect more sun than clouds by the mid-afternoon. 
    Total snowfall amounts will range between 1 - 4". Greenwich will see closer to 1" and New Haven will see closer to 4". The snow will be wet, melty, slushy, and heavy and will stick better to vegetated surfaces. The snow will also make for messy roadways and sidewalks for the Monday morning commute. 

    We may even see a very pretty orange sunset Monday evening. Monday’s high will be in the mid-40s. 

    A sunny sky continues into Tuesday with highs a touch warmer in the upper-40s. A chance for light rain moves through on Wednesday as a warm front pushes warmer air to southwestern Connecticut to finish the week with temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s through Friday.



  • Wintry Weather For Spring!

    As we head into Sunday the weather pattern favors minor impacts of a coastal storm. This storm is taking an "out-to-sea" track...but not entirely. The western and northern edges of the storm will pass through southwestern Connecticut.


    As we head into Sunday morning, we are likely to wake up with a mostly cloudy sky. You will also probably see some breaks of sunshine. However, these sunny spots will give away to an overcast quickly as the storm's northern edge forces some more clouds to the area.

    The temperatures for the afternoon should hike to the upper 30s, nearing 40 degrees for a high. Some forecast guidance suggests that temperatures can exceed 40 degrees. This will depend on the amount of sunshine we see in the morning.

    Flurries and even light drizzle is possible after noon on Sunday and when the sun goes down, temperatures start falling into the lower 30s. This will encourage wet-snow to form and it will have difficulty accumulating on roadways at first. Impacts are anticipated to be minor.

    The snow continues overnight as steady light snow.



    The storm is expected to lighten significantly over southwestern Connecticut right after sunrise. Some lingering snow flurries continue into the late morning and even into the early afternoon but conditions slowly improve through Monday.


    Snowfall totals are expected to reach 1-2" in our western areas and 2 - 3" in our eastern areas.

  • WINTER STORM UPDATE
    Friday, March 18, 2016

    The latest indications are that the storm will be weaker and will track farther out to sea. The combination of these factors would result in a lower impact storm in southwestern Connecticut. Snow amounts will be heaviest in eastern, coastal New England. Amounts around here will be on the lighter side. The snow will stick better to grassy areas than on the roads.

    Image: WeatherBell Analytics  







  • EARLY SPRING WINTER STORM
    Thursday, March 17, 2016

    Confidence is growing that a Nor'easter will impact the east coast Sunday and Monday. 

    It may seem impossible given the warm weather this week, but things will cool down. A cold front will knock temperatures down Friday night into Saturday. Saturday will be bright and much cooler. Temperatures will drop below freezing Saturday night, setting us up for wintry weather on the first day of spring on Sunday.

    The current forecast calls for a rain and snow mix to break out Sunday afternoon. By later in the day and at night, this will change to all snow. Wet snow, possibly mixed with sleet or rain, is likely Sunday night into Monday morning.

    Given that the storm threat is still a few days away, it is too early to give specifics on snow totals. There is a large range of possible outcomes, so don't buy into what people are sharing on Facebook. 

    At this point, plan for a "plowable" snow Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. As the storm gets closer, we'll have more details on timing and amounts. Stay with News 12 Connecticut for the latest!

    Image: WeatherBell Analytics 




  • SPRING WINTER STORM THREAT

    Cool air will return this weekend. This will set the stage for a potential winter storm as we kick off spring. This is still several days away, so the range of possible outcomes remains large: anything from a snowstorm to a complete miss. We'll keep tracking the storm threat over the next several days. As of right now, there is potential for snow on Monday morning.

    This particular computer model shows the snow threat for Sunday night and early Monday morning:
    Image: WeatherBell Analytics  


  • WARM WEDNESDAY
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas

    Wednesday will be a mild day across southwestern Connecticut. Temperatures will climb into the 50s and 60s. Sun will mix with clouds through most of the day. It'll turn cloudy late, and showers are possible before the day is through.







  • UNSETTLED WEEK

    A parade of storms will roll through the area this week. As a result, showers are likely from time-to-time.



    Tuesday will be warmer day than Monday.




  • Rainy Monday
    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo @meteor_mike

    A warm front will be approaching southwestern Connecticut for Monday and it will be raining all day. The good news is that it won't be too cold - actually highs for Monday will only reach a few degrees below seasonal across southwestern Connecticut.

    The drizzle should start late tonight after 10PM in southwestern Connecticut and continue overnight. By the early morning the air should be saturated enough to withstand steady light rain through the early afternoon. 
     
     

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    It is also expected to be breezy through the day with a sustained breeze near 15 - 20 mph. An occasional gust may reach up to 35 mph! Since the wind will be coming from the east, this could increase the chances for very minor coastal flooding along prone shoreline areas.

    The rain will be heaviest in the evening and eventually clear going into Tuesday morning. Tuesday morning opens up with fog and patchy drizzle. The fog could be dense in some places so it is important to exercise caution while on the roads. The fog will lift in the late morning and we may be graced with a glance of sunshine in the afternoon.

    Temperatures for Tuesday hike to the mid-50s and then we return to a high of 60 for Wednesday right before a cold front moves through sometime Wednesday night into Thursday. 

  • Spring Ahead!

    Don't forget to turn your clocks ahead one hour tonight before you go to bed! Tomorrow starts Daylight Saving Time and the sun rises and sets one hour later. The season of spring starts in just one week, and we will get 12 hours of daylight and nighttime equally. Daytime sunshine increases a bit each day until the start of summer! Woo!


  • Nice "Spring Ahead" Weekend
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Friday, March 11, 2016

    Allergy season has started in southwestern Connecticut. Tree pollen levels are high.




    Temperatures will chill down to around freezing tonight. Here are some HyperLocal lows for tonight.

    The weekend will be very pleasant. Highs will be in the 50s to around 60 on Saturday and Sunday.








  • Mild - Not As Warm
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Thursday, March 10, 2016

    A cold front will move through overnight. Showers are likely as the front moves through. Lingering clouds on Friday morning will break up, and it will turn bright and pleasant during the day. 





  • "Cooler Along The Shore"
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Tuesday, March 8, 2016

    The phrase "cooler along the shore" is a sure sign of the spring season. The water temperature of Long Island Sound is around 40°. While temperatures away from the beaches can warm up nicely this time of year, a wind off that cold water means it won't be as mild at the shore.






  • Spring Fling this week
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Monday, March 7, 2016

    Following a cool weekend, temperatures are on the move this week. Chilly air is lurking to our north all week long, but it looks like the warmth will win out over the next few days. Sea breezes will make it coolest right along the shore.

    HyperLocal Forecast For Tuesday 



    HyperLocal Forecast for Wednesday 


    HyperLocal Forecast for Thursday 






  • The Bermuda High
    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo @meteor_mike

    Springlike weather is on the way for this week! Trust me, warm-weather lovers are really going to enjoy this. It'll be perfect outdoor weather by Tuesday and Wednesday. But where is it coming from? A lot of it has to do with the air pattern around a Bermuda High Pressure.

    Aside from Bermuda being my favorite place in the world, the atmospheric qualities are truly fascinating! The air pattern over that region of the Atlantic contains the qualities of warm, humid, and beautiful weather - often attributed to the warm waters of the Gulf Stream that runs northwards along the eastern seaboard.
    This is a photo I actually took in Bermuda at Tobacco Bay Beach. Doesn't it look just beautiful? High pressure = sunny & great weather!

    This high pressure is semi-permanent, which means that it never really "goes away". When thinking about weather, we always see weather constantly changing. If you've ever been to Bermuda for a few days you quickly learn that the weather is pretty much the same everyday and even the temperatures at night don't change too much from during the day. You may get the occasional pop-up thunderstorm, but other than that - it's pretty flat.
    The "H" represents the semi-permanent Bermuda High Pressure and the arrows circling it represent the related wind pattern. 

    However, the high pressure does "move" and it could move west - which puts it closer to the east coast of the United States. When that happens, the air pattern around the "Bermuda High Pressure" pushes southerly winds into the northeast.


    For this time of year, that means it's not too warm and not too cold. On the other hand, the summertime effects are more intense - hot and sticky!

    Hurricanes actually move around - not through - the Bermuda High Pressure, which is partly why many hurricanes typically hug the coast of the US as they turn north from the Caribbean and equatorial regions of the Atlantic. Sometimes if the Bermuda High Pressure moves far enough west, the hurricane may even cross Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico! (Although, each scenario is unique and there are often many other factors attributing to storm track - this is just an example!)

    Taking it hyperlocal, this weather pattern will leave beautiful weather for Wednesday across southwestern Connecticut. Highs will surpass records! The previous record was set in 2002 for March 9 at 60 degrees. We should make it into the mid-60s and even push closer towards 70!

    Winter's on its way out! After all, we had a mild season and the current climate forecast calls for warmer weeks ahead. I think it's well deserved after last year's winter. Let's look forward to spring warmth and even a better summer!

    At least for now...it looks like El Nino is weakening, and if it weakens enough; it could trigger a La Nina pattern that would enhance Hurricane season. Yikes! But don't worry - it's too soon to tell right now. 
  • Warming On Up!


    The temperatures will be on the rise for the next couple of days! 
    Sunday will feature a mix of sun and clouds to start but increasing sunshine will be the story through the late morning. The sun will shine fully by the afternoon and into the evening with highs near 42 degrees.


    For Monday, warmer air is pulled in from the southwest which will provide a warmer day! Highs for Monday will reach 51 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds.

    There will be continued clouds on Tuesday with highs near 60! Keep that warm air coming!
    As we hit Wednesday, we should break high temperature records. The previous record is 60 degrees, and that was set back in 2002. Our current forecast calls for 65 degrees. Believe it or not, but it can be even warmer!

    You'll have to keep posted to see if anything else changes - but for right now, let's enjoy it with plenty of sunshine!
  • Melting Snow in Redding

  • DROUGHT IS OVER
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Thursday, March 3, 2016

    The lingering drought is over in southwestern Connecticut. Moderate drought conditions persisted through much of the winter. Recent rainfall helped bring the drought to an end.





  • MILD WINTER SEASON
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Wednesday, March 2, 2016

    The final numbers are in. It was the second warmest December through February ("Meteorological Winter") on record in southwestern Connecticut. The records go back to 1948. Notice that the five warmest have occurred in the last 25 meteorological winters.





  • Record Warm Leap Day
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Monday, February 29, 2016

    It was a mild Monday across southwestern Connecticut. The high temperature reached 58° at Bridgeport. This is a new record high for February 29. Of course, there's only a February 29 every few years, so the record database isn't too substantial for the date!
  • Wrapping Up A Mild Meteorological Winter
    Monday, February 29, 2016

    Winter will officially end in three weeks, but "meteorological winter" ends today. Meteorological winter runs from December 1 through the end of February.

    This will likely end up being the second warmest December through February on record for Bridgeport. The records go back to 1948.

    We will have the final results tomorrow. 




  • Monday Morning Showers


    This mild push of weather has been coming through the area with southwesterly winds ahead of a cold front that is currently moving into the Midwest. This cold front will push eastwards, creating a weak line of showers as it moves pushes some of the mild air out of the way. 

    Monday’s weather features this cold front expected to briefly pass through during the late morning after 8AM and wrapping up by noon.
    This line of showers are expected to be weak and only bring passing light rain. 


    The skies open in the afternoon to decreasing clouds and more sunshine. Highs north of the Merritt Parkway should reach into the upper 50s whereas areas along the shoreline will see highs in the mid-50s. Currently our forecast calls for a high of 56 but this is likely to vary across the area.

    Depending on the amount of sunshine, the highs may reach closer to 60 degrees in some of our communities.  


  • March-like Weather Ahead!

    Saturday’s chilly breeze and sunshine will end this evening as a few clouds approach the area for the night. These few clouds linger into the early morning where we have a very chilly start to the day on Sunday. 



    The day quickly warms up to reach highs in the mid-50s and the breeze will calm to about 10mph in the late afternoon. The sun will shine through Sunday before more clouds arrive late in the evening going into Monday morning. 

    These clouds will come with a light round of showers that will pass by on Monday with a cold front. The heaviest part of the front should remain to the north of the area and temperatures on Monday will have a small effect as warm southwesterly winds continue to bring warmer air to southwestern Connecticut. 



    Monday’s highs should push towards 60 degrees north of the Merritt Parkway and highs south of the Merritt Parkway will be a touch cooler, near 56 degrees. There will be a good amount of clouds on Monday which can alter temperature forecasts through the weekend. Tuesday looks to offer a mix of sun and clouds. 

    Wednesday comes with wet weather arriving from the southwest as another rain storm passes through. This clears out for Thursday and Friday with cooling temperatures and breezy conditions. We end the week in the upper 30s with a chance for flurries early on Friday.



  • COOLER AGAIN
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas

    Friday will be bright, but cooler. Highs will reach into the 30s, and a gusty breeze will make it feel cooler. The weekend starts off chilly. It'll be more "spring-like" on Sunday.




  • Time Lapse For Thursday, February 25, 2016

  • Redding Time Lapse 2/23/16

  • Snow Returns
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Monday, February 22, 2016

    The next few days will be unsettled. Things will start off on a wintry note Tuesday afternoon.




    Snow afternoon through early evening 







  • The Tale of Two Storms


    An active region of wet weather will be sparking up two storms that will track up to the northeast for Tuesday and Wednesday.

    An area of active weather down near Texas will be the source for two developing storms this week.  


    The first is expected to graze to the south of the area but we can be clipped with the northern fringes (like many of the storms of this season). The good news this time shows that this storm will be smaller and faster moving and would only bring a brief round of wintry mix to the area late on Tuesday.

    For Wednesday, the weather turns unsettled with far-stretching clouds and spotty showers. Wednesday afternoon features a storm quite large that will move northeast. It will rocket through southwestern Connecticut for the second half of Wednesday and into Thursday bringing heavy rain, gusty winds...and mild temperatures coming close to the 50s. It doesn't look like this storm will bring any wintry weather!

    It ends early on Thursday with a blast of gusty winds behind a passing cold front that knock down temperatures for next weekend.

    So think of it this way - we started this week off in the 50s, and end it in the 30s.
  • 28 Days Left To Spring!

    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo @meteor_mike

    But who would've guessed that it's not here yet after today's weather? A very March-like pattern is in store this week with some temperature swings. Starting from 50 on Sunday to the upper 30s by the end of the week.



  • SPRING FLING THIS WEEKEND
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas

    Following a cool end to the week, temperatures will be on the move this weekend. Highs will be near 50° on Saturday and Sunday. A compact storm may brush us with some wet snow early on Monday.











  • QUIET, BUT NOT SILENT
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas

    After an active start to the week on Monday and Tuesday, the weather has settled down across Southwestern Connecticut. Temperatures will be cooler than average on Thursday and Friday, with highs in the mid to upper 30s.

    An approaching warm front may bring some light snow or freezing drizzle late Friday afternoon into Friday evening. 

     Snow/Ice Chance

    There's another snow threat for Sunday night through midday Monday as a weak storm passes to our south. This could end up being a wintry mix or a total miss, so it's something we will watch.

    The next threat for a substantial storm is some time around the middle of next week. Odds are good that a major storm will impact the east coast. The potential impacts for southwestern Connecticut are to be determined. Some solutions favor a warmer, wetter storm; however, it appears that odds are better for a more wintry solution.




  • COLD WEEKEND
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas
    Friday, February 12, 2016

    An arctic cold front will usher in the coldest air of the winter on Saturday. As the front crosses on Saturday morning, snow showers or a squall are possible. Any squall can quickly drop visibility and cover the ground in snow.


    The core of the cold will be with us on Saturday night. Wind Chill temperatures will drop to near -25° during the night.






  • BITTER COLD
    Thursday, February 11, 2016

    Following another chilly day on Friday, arctic air arrives for the weekend. As the cold front moves in Saturday morning, a snow shower or heavy squall will be possible.  Temperatures will be frigid, and the wind will make it feel colder! The core of the cold will be over us Saturday night.



    Computer model wind chill projections Sunday AM 


  • WEEKEND COLD SHOT
    Wednesday, February 10, 2016

    The coldest air of the season will move into our area this weekend. The leading edge of the cold could trigger a snow shower or squall Friday evening. Daytime highs on Saturday will be in the teens. A biting wind will make it feel much colder. The core of the cold arrives Saturday night. Lows will range from 0 to 10 below zero, and wind chills will be near 25 below zero.

    Wind Chill Estimate - 1 AM Sunday 





  • MORE SNOW FLAKES
    Tuesday, February 9, 2016

    Some more snow flakes are expect Tuesday night into Wednesday. These are not part of a well organized storm, so the snow threat is more variable in nature.

    Tuesday evening Radar 

    Snow showers are possible from time-to-time Tuesday night through Wednesday. Accumulations will be light in most areas. If anyone is caught under an heavier snow bands, accumulations will be greater.







  • MAJOR COLD BLAST LATE WEEK
    Monday, February 8, 2016

    The coldest air of the season is set to move into southwestern Connecticut late this week. The week looks very cold with daytime highs in the teens to near 20 and overnight lows in the single digits.






  • Snowglobe


    A Snowglobe. That's exactly what it will look like through the next three days as two fairly massive storm systems are going to be merging together. Fortunately some refined details are trickling in.

    A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for southwestern Connecticut for Monday 3AM to 6PM

    Storm hugs the coast, grazing the edge across southwestern Connecticut. 

    MONDAY: 

    Expect snow to fall shortly after or around 5AM starting from the south and east. We will be on the edge where a matter of 15-20 miles will make the difference in the final forecast snowfall totals. As of now, we are a hair away from seeing the larger amounts. This is the most likely forecast for Monday unless anything changes overnight as the storm moves closer. For Monday's snowfall, expect light to moderate snowfall through the day accumulating up to 2-4". The "heaviest" would likely be near noon with a potential for snowbanding, which can increase rate of snowfall. Snowbanding is not well forecast prior to the storm's arrival and can be detected while the storm is impacting our area. My snowfall forecast 2-4" covers potential for that developing snowband. This snow will not be the heavy-wet type, but the fluffy type.

    It is also possible to see the snow become intermittent through the afternoon on Monday before the coastal storm leaves just after sunset. 

    Monday's Forecast Map:

    Amounts closer to 4" are likely near shoreline/south of the Merritt and east.  


    TUESDAY - WEDNESDAY:

    The snowglobe-like weather continues through Tuesday with an overcast and a few intermittent snow showers. A clipper arrives in this time-frame which is likely to deliver some more snow to southwestern Connecticut. This could bring an additional few inches. Again, the potential for snowbanding is likely here too. This storm would be more traditional with snow arriving from the west. As a preliminary forecast: I believe this could bring an additional 2 - 4".

    An Alberta Clipper dives a cold front south and swings snow showers into the area for Tuesday into Wednesday.  



  • Potentially Stormy Start Of The Week! 

    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo @meteor_mike

    A storm to the south looks to be riding off the coast and into the Atlantic for Monday. There is uncertainty with the track for Monday's storm and we will continue to watch these details for storm track and intensity changes through Sunday.

    Some forecast guidance has been suggesting the storm stays just east enough to keep us from trouble. Other forecast guidance says otherwise, a westward trend that gives us a deeper impact. 


    A westward track seems possible at this time because of recent trends of storms from this season combined with the current weather pattern and projections. This would not send the largest part of the storm our way, but it would send plowable amounts of snow with moderate accumulations.

    The second storm looks more certain for Tuesday and Wednesday, which is a clipper system that delivers some rounds of passing lighter snow showers through Tuesday and even into Wednesday.

    A clipper is developing over Alberta, Canada. This should head towards the northeast USA for Tuesday and Wednesday providing some snow showers 

    Beyond that, a dip of the jet stream pulls in some cold air for the end of next week.

    It's just a non-stop battle of the seasons here lately!

  • ACTIVE NEXT WEEK
    Friday, February 5, 2016

    Following the morning snow, it was a gorgeous afternoon across southwestern Connecticut. The weekend will be pleasant with sunshine and temperatures between 40 and 45 during the day. Icy spots are expected at night with temperatures dropping below freezing.

    The weather pattern will be very active next week. 

    Odds are pretty good that we will have at least some light snow in the Monday through Wednesday time frame. It remains uncertain if these storms will come together in a manner to bring us heavier snow. The bottom line is stay on top of the forecast over the weekend!

    It'll turn quite chilly by late next week.



  • Snow to Sun! Redding Time Lapse 2/5/16

  • SLICK FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE
    Thursday, February 4, 2016

    Following a spring-like day, it is back to winter on Friday morning.

    Snow is likely through the morning commute. Plan on slippery roads through the morning. Snow will end during the late morning or early afternoon, and breaks of sunshine are possible by later in the day.

    What To Expect 




    Rain around midnight. 


    Changing to snow around 3 AM 



    Snow for the morning commute 


    Snow winds down around noon 










  • CLOSE CALL
    Wednesday, February 3, 2016

    A storm will pass to our east Thursday night. The latest indications are that this storm may come far enough west to bring some rain and snow to our area late Thursday night into Friday morning. The best chance is in eastern areas. 

    Accumulations wouldn't be impressive, but the timing is troublesome as this is during the morning commute Friday. If you are traveling to the east on Friday morning, there is potential for a heavier accumulation of snow.


    There is a threat for a large coastal storm early next week. We'll have more on the in the coming days.

  • WET, WARM AND WINDY
    Tuesday, February 2, 2016

    The mild weather means our next storm will be rain on Wednesday. Some showers are possible during the morning. 


    The rain will be heavy at times during the afternoon. Some large puddles are possible during the evening commute.













  • So close!
    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo @meteor_mike



    We came close to breaking records today. The high was 60 degrees officially in Bridgeport. Some vast sunshine broke through earlier today. Combine that with southwesterly winds - you get a warm day.

    I hope you enjoyed - and continue to enjoy this weather despite the passing drizzle from this afternoon. The rainmaker is on the way for Wednesday - so umbrellas up!
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