News 12 Weather Extra

News 12 Connecticut Weather Extra

  • New Year's Eve Forecast for NYC

  • Fog in Redding - Time Lapse for Wednesday, December 30

  • Snow Totals
    Updated - Tuesday, December 29 2:30 PM

    As expected, the first winter storm of the season didn't bring much snow/sleet accumulation. Here's a listing of some totals around our area.

    National Weather Service -  Upton, NY 






  • A touch of wintry weather
    Updated -  Monday, December 28 7:10 PM

    The forecast remains on track for a small dose of wintry weather tonight and tomorrow morning in southwestern Connecticut.


    A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 6 AM for areas south of the Merritt and through 11 AM for areas north of the Merritt.

    Some light snow and sleet will develop during the evening hours. Any snow/sleet will be light and spotty through about 2 AM.



    The precipitation will pick up in intensity later at night. A round of sleet and freezing rain will occur.


    By 7 AM, areas south of the Merritt will see a change to rain. Icing will last longer in areas north of the Merritt. The morning commute will be slushy, slippery (in spots) with large puddles likely on the roads. Rain will be heavy through lunchtime. 










  • Future Radar Projection

  • Meteorologist Mike Rizzo
    The National Weather Service in Upton, NY issued a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for northern Fairfield and northern New Haven counties.

    This advisory will be in effect starting on Monday (12/28/15) night at 8PM to 11AM Tuesday(12/29/15) for our first round of wintry weather this season!!

    We can expect freezing rain, sleet, and brief wet snow to fall shortly after 8PM and continue overnight accumulating up to an inch north of the Merritt Parkway. These regions would be faced with hazards of slick and icy roads and slush - especially areas in higher elevations.

    Areas south of the Merritt are NOT in a Winter Weather Advisory as of now, however southern zones can also expect wintry weather, slush, and icy conditions.

    The change-over to all rain will take place shortly before sunrise.

    Although not a major storm - the morning rush will be quite messy!

  • Let's Talk WINTER!Meteorologist Mike Rizzo

    Actually - for some this might not be the most ideal kind of winter weather we want. Let's look at what we know about this upcoming pattern:

    Monday will be the coldest day on our 7-day.
    An area of cold Canadian air will be to the north, it'll pump in some colder air to us with a N-NE wind. Highs on Monday will only be in the lower 40s.


    This times itself perfectly with a storm moving up from the southwest. Precipitation+Cold = Wintry Weather...but how much and what kind?

    As of now, it looks more messy than white - this initial forecast calls for overnight snow, sleet, and freezing rain. A change-over to all rain is expected at some point during Tuesday morning. Unfortunately, specific times are a bit uncertain at this point.

    The Tuesday morning commute in southwestern Connecticut looks to be messy (at this point in time) with slick roadways and slush...Lots of slush. Areas north of the Merritt Parkway can potentially see up to an inch of accumulated snow/sleet under a thin layer of ice prior to the change-over to rain.

    News 12 will continue to monitor the skies for changes and we will continue to provide updates as we narrow down the forecast.
  • Unsettled Sunday


    With highs near 63 degrees, there will be mostly cloudy skies. If we surpass 63, we will break ANOTHER December high temperature record.

    However, this may be the last day (for now) with temperatures in the 60s as we go into the next year.

    Current air patterns suggest cooler air will be in place through the new year and there isn't too much indication of surging warmth at least for the next two weeks.

    However, I do expect that temperatures still remain above seasonal.

  • A roller coaster of a weekend is expected across southwestern Connecticut.
    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo

    We're up today, down tomorrow, then up again before....going...back down...

    Colder air filters in with a front that has slowly been passing through our area today. Saturday's high will be in the lower 50s.


    After Saturday's down-hill in temperatures, we're back up on Sunday! Warmer air from the southwest filters in - but it won't be a pretty-looking day. Think of today's weather, copy it, and paste it onto Sunday....just add the umbrellas.


    Before you know it, colder weather settles in on Monday. The tricky part of this forecast comes overnight into Tuesday as a storm coming from the southwest will arrive to our area. If the cold air is cold enough - it may produce some snow showers in our area. At this time, a messy and wintry mix is likely with ice at the onset of the storm overnight into Tuesday morning. The temperatures would naturally rise with a storm system of this type as we go through the day on Tuesday. Therefore, it will changeover to rain.

    We will continue to keep a closer eye on this forecast for any changes. 
  • Winter Weather Update - Thursday, December 24 3:00 PM

    The threat for wintry weather continues for late Monday night and Tuesday morning. As I mentioned yesterday, the depth and strength of the cold air will ultimately determine how much ice/snow will fall in the area. Given the lack of cold leading up to the storm and limited snow cover to our north, the cold air may struggle to hold on. The battle will be between strong high pressure to our north (funneling in the cold) and the warmth of Long Island Sound. This type of scenario can produce much different weather for areas south of the Merritt when compared to areas north of the Merritt.

    Plan for a stormy and wintry start to Tuesday. We'll keep you posted on-air and online. 

  • Potential Winter Weather - Wednesday 12/23/15 3:30 PM

    Following the mild start to the winter season, there is some winter weather potential moving into early next week. A broad area of cold high pressure will work across eastern Canada Monday night. This will push cold air into southwestern Connecticut from the north. At the same time, a storm will lift into the area.

    Image: WeatherBell 


    Projected temps Tuesday 7 AM (Image: WeatherBell)


    Depending on the strength and depth of the cold air, some snow and ice are possible Monday night and Tuesday morning. The most likely scenario would be a round of sleet and freezing rain early on Tuesday, before a change to rain. If the cold air is more substantial, a period of snow would be possible; however, the chances for snow are much better to our north.

    This is still several days away, so there is a large range of possible outcomes. We'll keep you posted!


  • Tracking Wednesday's Rain

  • DECEMBER RECORDS

    These the warmest December days (since 1948) for Bridgeport:
    #1) 76° - December 7, 1998
    #2) 72° - December 4, 1998
    #3) 67° - December 6, 2001

    The latest projections indicate that odds are good for a "top 3" warm December day on Thursday. 

  • Here's what to expect over the next three days. The unseasonable warmth continues, along with some more rain.

    Next Three Days 


    Morning fog with showers 


    Heavy rain by late day 


    Record-breaking warmth Thursday 









  • ABOVE FREEZING

    Bridgeport last touched the freezing mark on December 6. Given the warm weather expected over the next several days, we could go over three weeks in December without touching the freezing mark.




  • MILD START TO WINTER

    Winter arrives with warm temperatures this week.

    The warmest day will be Thursday. Temperatures will make a run at the 70-degree mark. The current record high of 57° will be shattered.



  • Today will be a bit breezy with winds of a different kind...

    ...we're talking about southwesterly winds of course. Typically we see colder northwesterly winds around this time of year.

    This SW wind will pull in more humidity and milder temperatures as we go through the week ahead.

    The temperature should be rising a degree or two each day this week.



  • WINTER SOLSTICE

    ...is Monday, December 21 at 11:48PM.

    Many of our calendars are actually incorrect - stating that the first day of winter is Tuesday, but in fact, winter begins late tomorrow. The winter solstice marks the shortest day of the year. It also marks the first day of winter in the northern hemisphere.

    The earth's axis is tilted away from the sun (in the northern hemisphere) and this limits the amount of heat we get!

    But what about our friends in the southern hemisphere? Well...for them, it's the first day of summer!





  • Cold, Brisk, But Clear!
    We finally see freezing temperatures for the first time this December. Temperatures are on the rise through the next week. This "December-like" feel won't last for long as we hit near 62 degrees for Christmas Eve!


  • WINTER WARMTH

    Winter arrives late Monday evening. Following a cool, "December-like" weekend, temperatures will warm up again for the beginning on winter. Records will be in jeopardy once again next week.

    This is one computer model projection for high temperatures (in blue) and low temperatures (in green) for Bridgeport.
    Image: WeatherBell Analytics 

    The standing record highs are in the upper 50s to near 60-degrees next week:
    Monday 12/21: 60° (1957)
    Tuesday 12/22: 60° (2013)
    Wednesday 12/23: 60° (2004)
    Thursday 12/24: 57° (1990)
    Friday 12/25: 59° (1964)

  • COOL WEEKEND

    After a mild week, temperatures will drop for the weekend. It'll cool down quickly Friday evening; if you have plans Friday night, you'll need your heavier coat. Saturday's high will be around 40-degrees. This may seem cold given our recent warm weather; however, this is seasonable for this time of year.



    Lake effect snow will develop in upstate New York on Friday night. Snow will continue through Saturday night or Sunday morning. Over a foot of snow is likely in the most persistent bands.



    It is possible that the gusty, cold wind will carry some flurries or snow showers to southwestern Connecticut on Saturday.


  • Timing Thursday's Rain

  • DECEMBER WARMTH

    New record highs were set on each of the last four days. The records in Bridgeport go back to 1948.

    Saturday: 61°
    Sunday: 61°
    Monday: 60°
    Tuesday: 63°

    Temperatures have reached 60-degrees on four consecutive December days one other time in our period of records (starting in 1948): December 1 through December 4, 1998:
    12/1/98: 60°
    12/2/98: 60°
    12/3/98: 61°
    12/4/98: 72°

    Just like this year, the winter of 1998-99 had a strong El Niño.




  • MILD WEATHER HANGS ON

    It will remain unseasonably mild for much of this week.


    Cooler weather will work in as we approach the weekend. Temperatures will be near seasonable levels; however, it will feel quite chilly considering how warm it has been lately.




    The normal (average) high is in the lower 40s for this time of year. Here's a look at highs over the next several days:






  • Time Lapse For Monday, December 14

  • Record highs are noted by the asterisk. We come close to breaking record highs for Monday once again.

  • RECORD WARMTH POSSIBLE

    The mercury will continue to rise over the weekend. Some record highs are in jeopardy as temperatures climb to around 60 through Monday.

    Saturday
    Forecast: 58°
    Record: 58° (2008)

    Sunday
    Forecast: 62°
    Record: 58° (1990)

    Monday
    Forecast: 62°
    Record: 58° (1991)

    Rain is likely late Monday and Monday night. Temperatures will stay above normal through most of next week.
  • Redding Time Lapse 12/11/15

  • MODERATE DROUGHT

    With a lack of substantial rainfall lately, the moderate drought continues in southwestern Connecticut.


    The drought situation is expected to improve due to a wetter than normal winter caused by El Niño.





  • MILD DECEMBER WEATHER

    Mild weather will be the theme over the next several days. Temperatures will be in the 50s to near 60-degrees over the weekend. 


    This warmth will challenge records Saturday through Monday. These are the current records:
    • SATURDAY: 58 (2008)
    • SUNDAY: 58 (1990)
    • MONDAY: 58 (1991)


  • The pleasant and dry weather continues on Wednesday.

    Here's the planning forecast:



    Highs will be right around 50-degrees:





  • Some record highs will be challenged later this week.

    CLICK TO VOTE - do you like it warm or are you ready for winter?
  • Fairfield Time Lapse 12/7/15

  • ANOTHER MISS

    Another storm will miss southwestern Connecticut on Tuesday. On Monday afternoon, rain is falling in North Carolina and Virginia.

    Satellite / Radar 

    The projected weather map for Tuesday morning shows the storm tracking to our southeast.

    Tuesday 8 AM Map 

    For the calendar year 2015, southwestern Connecticut us running a rainfall deficit of 8 to 12 inches. The deficit at Bridgeport is over 9 inches for the year.










  • Clouds arrive after sunset and they blanket the area this evening.
    Temperatures near 10PM should be in the mid-40s.
    Lows overnight should
    drop to the mid-30s.
    Clouds continue through Tuesday with some peeks of
    sun.
     


  • El Nino

    This year’s milder start to the cold weather seasons can be attributed to a climate feature called El Nino. This climate pattern pushes a clever twist on the atmospheric pattern across the globe by altering typical seasonal patterns. Let’s discuss what exactly an El Nino is:

    Let’s take this story far from southwestern Connecticut and let’s start near the equator on the Pacific Ocean near Peru and Ecuador.

    The normal weather pattern for this region is very different from what we are used to here in Connecticut. The “jet stream” over us moves air from west to east, but down there, their version of our jet stream is called the “trade winds” which pushes air from east to west. Quite the opposite!

    In a normal scenario, the deep waters near Ecuador and Peru will warm because of its location near the equator (the warmest climate region on earth). The trade winds will then push the warm water across the Pacific Ocean. When the warmer waters push out of the way, the colder water under the warmer water ends up warming and the process repeats. Warmer waters encourage evaporation and could lead to storminess. Therefore, the western equatorial Pacific region normally finds warm waters and rainy weather. Whereas the eastern Pacific near Ecuador and Peru can often be drier.

    During an El Nino event, the trade winds slow down or completely reverse direction. This no longer pushes the warmer water to the western Pacific and the warmer water pools along the eastern Pacific near South and Central America. With the water unable to move west – the evaporation and stormy weather shifts from western Pacific to the eastern Pacific. Uh oh!

    In turn, this “pooling” of warmer water and increased moisture into the air can be caught into the southern jet stream which then forces wet weather and storms to develop along California and the southern United States!

    When the rainy and stormy weather reaches the Gulf of Mexico or the Atlantic Ocean, they can continue to trigger storms that eventually then ride up along the eastern coast. This could bring some close calls to wet weather here in southwestern Connecticut – and since storms from the south are typically “warmer” than storms from the north [because they are closer to the warmer climate] – it makes for a tricky forecast.

    Tricky? Why? Well as these storms move north – they can actually be influenced by the cooler weather up north! That means we can see some close calls between rain and snow, too! And not just near-misses.

    Also, warmer water warms the air above it. In winter-time, this warmer air surges farther north than normal and colder Canadian air has a harder time dipping down into the United States – thus limiting cold air outbreaks. However, this doesn’t mean cold outbreaks would be non-existent! It just means that chances for outbreaks decrease in El Nino events.

    According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), this year’s El Nino can rank as one of the top three strongest El Nino events in recorded history since 1950.

    Based on the strength of the El Nino – it is expected to peak during our winter – which is summer in the southern Hemisphere, where the water will be warmest near Peru and Ecuador. It is forecast that weakening is likely to take place in our late spring with a neutral pattern by our early summer.

    So could this mean a milder winter for us?


    Source: Climate Prediction Center, NOAA 

    It looks likely! According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the three-month temperature outlook for December, January, and February shows at least a 40% chance for above seasonal temperatures here in southwestern Connecticut.

    It already seems to be the case here in southwestern Connecticut for autumn since it was the 2nd warmest autumn on record – falling behind 2011. Looking at December, we already had a week where temperatures were above seasonal, too!

    Given that this year’s El Nino is fairly strong through observation of the water temperatures and observed effects so far, now I ask you:

    Would you say that there is a likely possibility that the next few months could be warmer than seasonal?

    And that, folks, is what it’s like to think like a meteorologist – to examine, to infer, to analyze, and to hypothesize based on what we know – just to create a vision of what could be.

    Enjoy the weather!

    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo

    @meteor_mike

    fb.com/MikeRizzoWeather



  • Sunny Sunday

    Feeling Mild! Temperatures supersede seasonal with highs in the lower 50s to finish a spectacular December weekend. The sunshine continues into Monday with a few clouds possible later in the day.




  • Clear & Quiet Tonight

    Temperatures will fall to about 34 degrees here in southwestern Connecticut.

    Some areas north of the Merritt Parkway will reach the freezing mark or below [32 degrees]. These areas can also see the development of patchy fog and frost.

    Clear skies continue into Sunday with temperatures reaching above seasonal by the afternoon.
  • Fairfield Time Lapse 12/4/15

  • Temperatures will cool down close to freezing overnight. 


    The first weekend of December will be bright and mild. Enjoy!








  • FRIDAY FORECAST

    Friday will be a couple of degrees cooler than Thursday, but it won't be as windy. It'll be a nice wrap to the work week, and it'll warm up over the weekend.


    Friday Forecast 



    Three Day Forecast 




  • MODERATE DROUGHT

    All of southwestern Connecticut remains in Moderate Drought.


    Drought Update - December 3, 2015 

    Bridgeport is running about a 9 inch rainfall deficit for the calendar year 2015.






  • WARM AUTUMN

    In the world of meteorology, fall is defined by the months of September, October and November. This simplifies the record-keeping process.

    This fall (September 1 through November 30) was the second warmest on record in southwestern Connecticut. The records go back to 1948.

    Here's a sorted chart of the average temperature for September through November.

    Data: NOAA 


    This is a line graph of the average fall temperature from 1948 through 2015.

    Data: NOAA 

  • Redding Time Lapse December 2, 2015

  • MORE RAIN

    Wednesday will be another wet day here in southwestern Connecticut. It'll dry out and turn breezy on Thursday.




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