News 12 Weather Extra

News 12 Connecticut Weather Extra

    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo
    @meteor_mike




    A Special Weather Statement has been issued by the National Weather Service advising that standing water from tonight's flurries and snow showers will freeze overnight creating areas of black ice.

    Tonight's lows drop to near 24 degrees. Roads and sidewalks will be wet and slippery again in the morning with another round of flurries.




    Please dress warmly and wear shoes or boots with traction if you are venturing outdoors. (My dress shoes were a poor choice for my dinner break - I was slipping right in our parking lot!)


    Sunday's Lull - Meteorologist Mike Rizzo

    We will be wedged between two storm systems on Sunday so expect a partly sunny day with an overcast of thin clouds. I think we will wake up to some sunshine that quickly gives away to clouds - so if you plan to sleep in late, you may miss the morning sun!

    Flurries will move through late Sunday night and into Monday. The wind also picks up Sunday night into Monday where wind chills will be in the single digits for Monday morning.
    An offshore storm will stay to the east and only give some late day snow showers for the Boston area. We will be dry through Sunday afternoon and evening.

    Westport Time Lapse 1/15/16

    WEEKEND FORECAST
    Friday, January 15, 2016

    A period of rain is likely Friday night into Saturday morning. The rain will taper off to showers and end by lunchtime, and some sunny breaks are possible during the afternoon.







    Snow to Sun to Clouds - Time Lapse 1/14/16

    WEEKEND STORM UPDATE
    Thursday, January 14, 2016

    The general thinking from yesterday remains the same regarding the weekend storm threat.

    A storm will pass to our southeast on Saturday. With a lack of substantial cold air, we are expecting rain in southwestern Connecticut. 


    WeatherBell Analytics 

    Another storm will pass well to our southeast Sunday and Monday. This one will miss our area; however, a disturbance on Monday will bring a chance of light snow or flurries.


    WeatherBell Analytics  



    Vanishing Snow In Redding!

    ONE, MAYBE TWO, WEEKEND STORMS
    Meteorologist Garett Argianas

    The storm threat for Saturday continues. The storm is expected to pass to our southeast on a track that is typically favorable for snow in our area; however, in this instance, cold air is limited. That reduces the chance of a big snow storm. 

     Image: WeatherBell

    Another storm will be in the neighborhood on Sunday and Monday. This storm will be stronger, but most of the computer models are keeping the storm out to sea. We need to watch this one closely because it is possible that the storm comes close enough to bring wintry weather Sunday and/or Monday.




    Accumulating Snow Tonight - Be Careful On The Roads!

    New Canaan Snow

    Redding Snow

    TUESDAY SNOW
    Updated - Monday, January 11 4:35 PM

    A cold front will arrive Tuesday afternoon with some wintry weather.




    It'll be dry and cold for the morning commute:

    It'll be mostly cloudy and mostly dry through early afternoon:


    Some snow is likely from late afternoon through Tuesday evening. Close to the coast, it may be warm enough for some rain to mix with the snow.

    With snow in the area and dropping temperatures, be alert to changing road conditions during the Tuesday evening commute through Tuesday evening. Accumulations will be minimal to light. Icy spots are possible Wednesday morning.



    Wild Weather! Meteorologist Mike Rizzo

    We really almost had it all, just no snow.
     
    It felt like a Spring/Fall day and the weather sure lived up to that. It definitely didn’t feel like January with a new record high of 60 degrees set at Bridgeport Sikorsky Airport. The previous record was 55 degrees that was set in 2000.
     
    Rainfall amounts at Bridgeport totaled to 1.23” which was about .22” shy of the previous record of 1.45” set in 1977.

    Today’s stormy weather arrived with blustery winds peaking at 40 mph at KBDR and 47 mph at Stamford. These winds enhanced coastal flooding across the area, making some coastal roads impassable and flooded near high tide that took place shortly after 11AM.



    A break midday came with glimpses of sunshine followed by a profound Spring/Fall-like cold front that had some embedded thunderstorms. This arrived from the west shortly after 4PM and rocked through southwestern Connecticut leaving a rainbow in its wake.
     
    Some colder temperatures and gusty days are ahead of us this week. We can even expect some snow showers Tuesday into Wednesday. However El Nino is still in full force, and the battle with Old Man Winter will press on as we head into the heart of the winter months.


    A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY is in effect for areas long the coastline for Sunday (1/10/2016) morning's high tide near 11AM.


    Areas along the immediate coast that are vulnerable to higher than normal tides can expect to see some flooding. Tides will be between 8 and 11 feet during high tide, which is 2 feet above normal high tides.

    This is due to the stormy weather expected through the morning with strong winds and moderate to heavy rain.

    Please be cautious and do not drive through flooded roadways! ‪#‎TurnAroundDontDrown‬


    STORMY WEEKEND
    Updated: Friday, January 8, 2016 4:40 PM

    A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for areas north of the Merritt through 8 AM Saturday. Some light drizzle or fog is possible tonight. With temperatures near freezing, there is the potential for some icing. I want to stress that there's very little precipitation in the forecast; however, a little ice can be very dangerous, prompting the advisory.

    Saturday will be mainly cloudy and mainly dry. Temperatures will climb into the 40s. It'll be wet, windy and warm on Sunday. Wind gusts could reach over 40 mph, and o
    ne to two inches of rain are possible.






    Time Lapse - Friday, January 8, 2016

    UNSETTLED WEEKEND
    Updated: Thursday, January 7, 2016 7:30 PM

    Quiet conditions will wrap up the work week here in southwestern Connecticut. Morning sunshine will fade behind increasing clouds. Temperatures will be around 40°.

    It'll be mostly cloudy Friday night. Some light drizzle or showers are possible, especially later at night. We'll need to closely watch the thermometer, as there's a chance that we'll be close to the freezing mark. Just a little bit of ice can cause treacherous conditions, so it's important that we keep an eye on this. By no means is this guaranteed, but I want to make sure you are aware of the potential.


    Most of Saturday will be cloudy and dry; some showers or sprinkles are possible. Sunday will be a stormy day. Rain will be heavy at times with highs in the 50s.




    Orange Time Lapse - Thursday, January 7, 2016

    CHANGES FOR THE WEEKEND
    Wednesday, January 6, 2016 - 7:40 PM

    It'll stay dry and pleasant for the rest of the work week. Some icy spots are possible Friday night into early Saturday. 



    Sunday will be mild with periods of rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Here's the expected rainfall through early next week:




    FIRST FULL DAY BELOW FREEZING
    Tuesday, January 5 - 9:10 PM

    Tuesday was the first entire day (midnight to midnight) to stay below freezing this winter. Despite the cold afternoon on Monday, it was above freezing for a period of time before sunrise.





    Stamford Time Lapse - Tuesday, January 5, 2016

    BACK TO THE 40s
    Tuesday, January 5 - 7:10 PM

    A pair of cold days kicked off the work week in southwestern Connecticut. Warmer air is set to move in for the second half of the week.



    Temperatures will remain above normal through early next week. It'll cool off again by the middle part of next week.


    Bridgeport Time Lapse - Monday, January 4, 2016



    Monday's highs will top out near 30 degrees. Meteorologist Mike Rizzo

    Wind chills will make it feel like its in the lower 20s. Tuesday is fairly similar but overnight conditions really are sharp. Overnight lows will bottom out in the teens and wind chills make it feel like single digits.

    Monday's Highs 
    Tuesday morning's low 
     
     

    1 of 2



    For reference, our normal highs and lows for Monday are:
    High: 38*F
    Low: 24*F
    Did you miss this winter chill?
    Did you miss Old Man Winter? Meteorologist Mike Rizzo



    Well he's back! Mother Nature seems to be on better terms with this guy...

    Expect an outbreak of polar air across southwestern Connecticut for Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures are sinking below freezing - highs in the lower 30s and upper 20s. Overnight lows are reminiscent of last winter's cold.

    Hah! But don't worry - temperatures are back up by the end of next week with highs in the lower to mid-40s.

    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo December Warmth

    Get this! December 2015 was the WARMEST on record for Bridgeport! We were about 11 degrees ABOVE the normal average temperature for the entire month. And we even surpassed the previous record by 4 degrees.

    The warmest day was Christmas Day with a high of 64.

    This unseasonably warm weather for southwestern Connecticut was actually similar to NORMAL December temperatures for Eureka, California! So it's pretty safe to say that this past month felt like a "California December"

    Gracias El Nino!



    December Recap
    December 31, 2015 5:00 PM

    What a December is has been in southwestern Connecticut and throughout the northeast! 

    At Bridgeport, the normal average temperature for the month of December is 35.4°.  December 2015 will come in with an average temperature 47.2°. That's a whopping 11.8° above normal, which easily makes this the warmest December on record for Bridgeport (and beats the old record by almost 6°).

    Warmest Decembers at Bridgeport (since 1948):
    • 2015: 47.2°
    • 2001: 41.4°
    • 2011: 41.1°
    • 2006: 41.0°
    • 1984: 40.2°
    We picked up nearly 5 inches of rain this month. This is the first month with above normal precipitation since June.





    New Year's Eve Forecast for NYC

    Fog in Redding - Time Lapse for Wednesday, December 30

    Snow Totals
    Updated - Tuesday, December 29 2:30 PM

    As expected, the first winter storm of the season didn't bring much snow/sleet accumulation. Here's a listing of some totals around our area.

    National Weather Service -  Upton, NY 






    A touch of wintry weather
    Updated -  Monday, December 28 7:10 PM

    The forecast remains on track for a small dose of wintry weather tonight and tomorrow morning in southwestern Connecticut.


    A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 6 AM for areas south of the Merritt and through 11 AM for areas north of the Merritt.

    Some light snow and sleet will develop during the evening hours. Any snow/sleet will be light and spotty through about 2 AM.



    The precipitation will pick up in intensity later at night. A round of sleet and freezing rain will occur.


    By 7 AM, areas south of the Merritt will see a change to rain. Icing will last longer in areas north of the Merritt. The morning commute will be slushy, slippery (in spots) with large puddles likely on the roads. Rain will be heavy through lunchtime. 










    Future Radar Projection

    Let's Talk WINTER!Meteorologist Mike Rizzo

    Actually - for some this might not be the most ideal kind of winter weather we want. Let's look at what we know about this upcoming pattern:

    Monday will be the coldest day on our 7-day.
    An area of cold Canadian air will be to the north, it'll pump in some colder air to us with a N-NE wind. Highs on Monday will only be in the lower 40s.


    This times itself perfectly with a storm moving up from the southwest. Precipitation+Cold = Wintry Weather...but how much and what kind?

    As of now, it looks more messy than white - this initial forecast calls for overnight snow, sleet, and freezing rain. A change-over to all rain is expected at some point during Tuesday morning. Unfortunately, specific times are a bit uncertain at this point.

    The Tuesday morning commute in southwestern Connecticut looks to be messy (at this point in time) with slick roadways and slush...Lots of slush. Areas north of the Merritt Parkway can potentially see up to an inch of accumulated snow/sleet under a thin layer of ice prior to the change-over to rain.

    News 12 will continue to monitor the skies for changes and we will continue to provide updates as we narrow down the forecast.

    Unsettled Sunday


    With highs near 63 degrees, there will be mostly cloudy skies. If we surpass 63, we will break ANOTHER December high temperature record.

    However, this may be the last day (for now) with temperatures in the 60s as we go into the next year.

    Current air patterns suggest cooler air will be in place through the new year and there isn't too much indication of surging warmth at least for the next two weeks.

    However, I do expect that temperatures still remain above seasonal.

    A roller coaster of a weekend is expected across southwestern Connecticut.
    Meteorologist Mike Rizzo

    We're up today, down tomorrow, then up again before....going...back down...

    Colder air filters in with a front that has slowly been passing through our area today. Saturday's high will be in the lower 50s.


    After Saturday's down-hill in temperatures, we're back up on Sunday! Warmer air from the southwest filters in - but it won't be a pretty-looking day. Think of today's weather, copy it, and paste it onto Sunday....just add the umbrellas.


    Before you know it, colder weather settles in on Monday. The tricky part of this forecast comes overnight into Tuesday as a storm coming from the southwest will arrive to our area. If the cold air is cold enough - it may produce some snow showers in our area. At this time, a messy and wintry mix is likely with ice at the onset of the storm overnight into Tuesday morning. The temperatures would naturally rise with a storm system of this type as we go through the day on Tuesday. Therefore, it will changeover to rain.

    We will continue to keep a closer eye on this forecast for any changes. 
    Winter Weather Update - Thursday, December 24 3:00 PM

    The threat for wintry weather continues for late Monday night and Tuesday morning. As I mentioned yesterday, the depth and strength of the cold air will ultimately determine how much ice/snow will fall in the area. Given the lack of cold leading up to the storm and limited snow cover to our north, the cold air may struggle to hold on. The battle will be between strong high pressure to our north (funneling in the cold) and the warmth of Long Island Sound. This type of scenario can produce much different weather for areas south of the Merritt when compared to areas north of the Merritt.

    Plan for a stormy and wintry start to Tuesday. We'll keep you posted on-air and online. 

    Potential Winter Weather - Wednesday 12/23/15 3:30 PM

    Following the mild start to the winter season, there is some winter weather potential moving into early next week. A broad area of cold high pressure will work across eastern Canada Monday night. This will push cold air into southwestern Connecticut from the north. At the same time, a storm will lift into the area.

    Image: WeatherBell 


    Projected temps Tuesday 7 AM (Image: WeatherBell)


    Depending on the strength and depth of the cold air, some snow and ice are possible Monday night and Tuesday morning. The most likely scenario would be a round of sleet and freezing rain early on Tuesday, before a change to rain. If the cold air is more substantial, a period of snow would be possible; however, the chances for snow are much better to our north.

    This is still several days away, so there is a large range of possible outcomes. We'll keep you posted!


    Tracking Wednesday's Rain

    DECEMBER RECORDS

    These the warmest December days (since 1948) for Bridgeport:
    #1) 76° - December 7, 1998
    #2) 72° - December 4, 1998
    #3) 67° - December 6, 2001

    The latest projections indicate that odds are good for a "top 3" warm December day on Thursday. 

    Here's what to expect over the next three days. The unseasonable warmth continues, along with some more rain.

    Next Three Days 


    Morning fog with showers 


    Heavy rain by late day 


    Record-breaking warmth Thursday 









    ABOVE FREEZING

    Bridgeport last touched the freezing mark on December 6. Given the warm weather expected over the next several days, we could go over three weeks in December without touching the freezing mark.




    MILD START TO WINTER

    Winter arrives with warm temperatures this week.

    The warmest day will be Thursday. Temperatures will make a run at the 70-degree mark. The current record high of 57° will be shattered.



    Today will be a bit breezy with winds of a different kind...

    ...we're talking about southwesterly winds of course. Typically we see colder northwesterly winds around this time of year.

    This SW wind will pull in more humidity and milder temperatures as we go through the week ahead.

    The temperature should be rising a degree or two each day this week.



    WINTER SOLSTICE

    ...is Monday, December 21 at 11:48PM.

    Many of our calendars are actually incorrect - stating that the first day of winter is Tuesday, but in fact, winter begins late tomorrow. The winter solstice marks the shortest day of the year. It also marks the first day of winter in the northern hemisphere.

    The earth's axis is tilted away from the sun (in the northern hemisphere) and this limits the amount of heat we get!

    But what about our friends in the southern hemisphere? Well...for them, it's the first day of summer!





    Cold, Brisk, But Clear!
    We finally see freezing temperatures for the first time this December. Temperatures are on the rise through the next week. This "December-like" feel won't last for long as we hit near 62 degrees for Christmas Eve!


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